Buffalo Bills
Offense2026 Pre-Season Outlook · Underdog Rankings + 5yr History · 2026 results to date
New HC·Joe BradyNew OC·Pete Carmichael Jr.Loading 2026 pre-season outlook…
2026 Pre-Season Outlook · Underdog Rankings + 5yr History · 2026 results to date
New HC·Joe BradyNew OC·Pete Carmichael Jr.RBs & WRs
QBs & TEs
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy Pts/G | 69.2 | 68.7 | 67.1 | 71.5 | 71.0 |
| Rush Pts/G | 26.5 | 24.8 | 21.3 | 20.4 | 19.9 |
| Rec Pts/G | 42.7 | 44.0 | 45.9 | 51.1 | 51.2 |
| QB Rush/G | 8.9 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 7.2 |
| RB Pts/G | 24.3 | 26.1 | 20.6 | 20.0 | 18.3 |
| WR Pts/G | 22.3 | 26.4 | 29.0 | 35.5 | 36.5 |
| TE Pts/G | 13.7 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| NFL Pts/G | 27.9 | 31.8 | 26.9 | 28.0 | 28.5 |
| Metric | Wk1 HST Away | Wk2 DET Home | Wk3 LAC Home | Wk4 NE Home | Wk5 LA Away | Wk6 LV Away | Wk7 BYE — | Wk8 BLT Home | Wk9 MIN Away | Wk10 NYJ Away | Wk11 MIA Home | Wk12 KC Home | Wk13 NE Away | Wk14 GB Away | Wk15 CHI Home | Wk16 DEN Away | Wk17 MIA Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impl. Total | 23.0 | 30.0 | 28.8 | 28.3 | 26.0 | 29.5 | — | 27.0 | 25.8 | 26.8 | 29.5 | 26.5 | 23.5 | 24.0 | 27.5 | 24.0 | 27.5 |
| Fnt Pts | 49.9 | 61.9 | 51.4 | 55.1 | 57.6 | 61.1 | — | 62.2 | 50.0 | 64.9 | 62.5 | 53.9 | 55.1 | 56.9 | 64.4 | 51.7 | 62.5 |
| Rush Pts | 13.9 | 17.7 | 16.5 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 20.1 | — | 16.7 | 17.2 | 20.6 | 17.8 | 15.7 | 14.6 | 16.9 | 19.2 | 13.1 | 17.8 |
| Rec Pts | 36.1 | 44.2 | 35.0 | 40.5 | 43.3 | 41.0 | — | 45.5 | 32.8 | 44.3 | 44.7 | 38.2 | 40.5 | 40.0 | 45.2 | 38.5 | 44.7 |
| QB Rush Pts | 1.84 | 2.71 | 3.16 | 2.04 | 1.84 | 3.90 | — | 3.68 | 1.84 | 2.76 | 3.49 | 4.20 | 2.04 | 2.24 | 4.35 | 2.68 | 3.49 |
| RB Pts | 18.0 | 18.3 | 17.2 | 17.4 | 18.5 | 21.5 | — | 20.0 | 18.7 | 24.8 | 20.6 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 19.4 | 19.9 | 16.3 | 20.6 |
| WR Pts | 20.1 | 30.6 | 22.5 | 24.3 | 27.7 | 27.7 | — | 29.9 | 20.4 | 25.6 | 24.7 | 23.1 | 24.3 | 25.9 | 29.4 | 21.5 | 24.7 |
| TE Pts | 10.0 | 10.4 | 8.5 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 8.1 | — | 8.6 | 9.0 | 11.7 | 13.8 | 8.7 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 11.2 | 13.8 |
| Rush Eff | 0.597 | 0.663 | 0.684 | 0.607 | 0.543 | 0.660 | — | 0.652 | 0.558 | 0.665 | 0.655 | 0.606 | 0.607 | 0.608 | 0.713 | 0.555 | 0.655 |
| Rec Eff | 1.149 | 1.359 | 1.164 | 1.295 | 1.246 | 1.334 | — | 1.258 | 1.205 | 1.460 | 1.452 | 1.267 | 1.295 | 1.238 | 1.474 | 1.123 | 1.452 |
Defense metrics = 2025 season averages · Higher = more exploitable matchup · Implied total from Underdog pre-season lines
| Player | Age Sep 9, 2026 | UD Rank | ESPN$ | Bills Offense Share | Career PPG by Season | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| Josh Allen ADP 36.6 | 30.3 | QB1 | $30 | 12.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 25.3 | 25.7 | 25.5 | 28.0 | 26.3 |
| Kyle Allen ADP — | 30.5 | — | — | — | — | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | -0.2 | — | — |
| Shane Buechele ADP — | 28.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RB | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| James Cook ADP 8.9 | 27.0 | RB5 | $51 | 26.5% | 24.8% | 19.5% | 8.5% | — | 18.1 | 16.1 | 13.0 | 6.1 | — |
| Ty Johnson ADP 215.9 | 29.0 | RB83 | — | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | — | — | 4.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 6.8 |
| Ray Davis ADP 186.9 | 26.8 | RB58 | — | 3.3% | 8.5% | — | — | — | 1.9 | 5.9 | — | — | — |
| Frank Gore ADP — | 24.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| DJ Moore ADP 49.8 | 29.4 | WR24 | $12 | New acquisition from CHI | 8.9 | 10.6 | 14.5 | 10.4 | 11.1 | ||||
| Khalil Shakir ADP 132.7 | 26.6 | WR56 | $2 | 12.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.2% | — | 8.3 | 9.6 | 5.0 | 1.8 | — |
| Keon Coleman ADP 211.8 | 23.3 | WR89 | — | 9.1% | 11.4% | — | — | — | 6.5 | 7.5 | — | — | — |
| Joshua Palmer ADP 215.8 | 27.0 | WR106 | — | 5.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.7 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 4.0 |
| Greg Dortch ADP 216.0 | 28.3 | WR129 | — | New acquisition from ARZ | 5.0 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.5 | — | ||||
| Skyler Bell ADP 214.6 | 24.2 | WR94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrell Shavers ADP 216.0 | 27.1 | WR142 | — | 3.3% | 6.1% | — | — | — | 2.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Ja'Mori Maclin ADP — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trent Sherfield ADP — | 30.5 | — | — | — | — | 0.9% | — | — | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| TE | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| Dalton Kincaid ADP 116.6 | 26.9 | TE10 | $1 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.1 | 6.1 | 6.9 | — | — |
| Dawson Knox ADP 215.8 | 29.8 | TE44 | — | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 4.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 9.3 |
| Jackson Hawes ADP 216.0 | 25.8 | TE61 | — | 4.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Keleki Latu ADP — | 24.1 | — | — | 0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Roster from Underdog September 9, 2026 snapshot · Hit rates = % of weeks at or above tier threshold · Team history = flex scoring only (no QB passing)